Real Jaén vs CF Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
41
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
RJA
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
HUE
0 - 0
RJA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RJA
7 - 0
CHM
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HUE
2 - 3
MOT
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
CHM
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
MOT
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAL
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 4
MOT
41%
25%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |