Real Jaén vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MEL
2 - 0
RJA
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
RJA
2 - 1
CCF
51%
27%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BET
0 - 2
RJA
62%
22%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
GET
0 - 0
RJA
66%
22%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
MER
0 - 1
ALB
31%
30%
38%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
MER
2 - 0
COR
88%
10%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1989 |
VIL
0 - 0
MER
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
MER
5 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ADP
2 - 3
MER
30%
26%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |