Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 0
LOR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RJA
0 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 3
RJA
32%
30%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
UCA
34%
31%
36%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 0
MEL
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
MAD
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
SEV
40%
31%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |