Real Jaén vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
RJA
4 - 3
UDE
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
MER
4 - 1
RJA
59%
19%
23%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
RJA
3 - 0
LCF
76%
13%
11%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BET
5 - 1
RJA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
RJA
1 - 0
SFE
63%
18%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
MEL
4 - 0
ILI
69%
16%
15%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
UDE
0 - 2
MEL
47%
21%
32%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
MEL
7 - 1
MAG
73%
15%
13%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
MER
0 - 0
MEL
46%
20%
34%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
MEL
6 - 0
CDB
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |