Real Jaén vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
ECI
2 - 1
RJA
44%
30%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 0
SRQ
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
RJA
2 - 0
SFE
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
VIL
1 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 1
CPC
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
MAN
0 - 1
MMA
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ALM
1 - 0
MMA
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 1
MEL
46%
30%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
BET
2 - 0
MMA
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |