Real Jaén vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
UTR
0 - 0
RJA
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
RJA
1 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
CDB
0 - 1
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
LIN
3 - 0
RJA
68%
20%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
RJA
0 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 4
ALB
30%
30%
40%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1989 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 1
MEL
47%
30%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
TOM
1 - 2
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDT
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |