Real Jaén vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ALM
3 - 1
RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
1 - 3
RJA
82%
14%
5%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
RJA
0 - 1
MEL
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
MMA
2 - 1
RJA
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 2
ECI
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
BAE
0 - 1
MAL
25%
28%
48%
|
73 | 25 | 48 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
1 - 3
RJA
82%
14%
5%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
2 - 0
MAR
80%
15%
6%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ROC
2 - 2
MAL
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MAL
1 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |