Real Jaén vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ANT
2 - 1
RJA
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 1
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 1
RJA
23%
23%
55%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
RJA
1 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 1
ANT
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
LOJ
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MEL
60%
19%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOJ
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 2
ATA
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |