Real Jaén vs Larache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RJA
5 - 2
MEL
63%
18%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
SDC
1 - 0
RJA
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
1 - 2
EME
84%
10%
7%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
UDE
4 - 2
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 0
ILI
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
LCF
2 - 1
SDC
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
EME
4 - 1
LCF
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
LCF
2 - 2
UDE
37%
22%
42%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
ILI
4 - 2
LCF
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
LCF
1 - 2
ALG
60%
18%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |