Real Jaén vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
EXT
3 - 0
RJA
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RJA
4 - 2
LEV
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 0
PUL
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
HER
4 - 0
CIE
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ALI
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
HER
7 - 0
AGU
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ALM
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
HER
2 - 1
ORI
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |