Real Jaén vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
NER
2 - 0
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
RJA
1 - 1
POL
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
BEN
0 - 1
RJA
16%
26%
59%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
RJA
2 - 1
ILI
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
MMA
2 - 0
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
GUA
1 - 1
VEL
51%
26%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAL
1 - 1
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
GUA
2 - 0
ANT
70%
20%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
POL
1 - 0
GUA
68%
21%
12%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
GUA
3 - 0
MIJ
64%
22%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |