Real Jaén vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
RJA
1 - 1
RSO
42%
22%
35%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ATM
6 - 1
RJA
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
RJA
2 - 2
FCB
23%
23%
55%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SEV
5 - 2
RJA
81%
11%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
DEP
6 - 0
RJA
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
RSO
2 - 0
ESP
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
OSA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
ATM
2 - 2
ESP
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
RMA
4 - 3
ESP
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |