Real Jaén vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
RJA
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RJA
3 - 1
ALG
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 0
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
RJA
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
UCA
36%
31%
33%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JUM
2 - 1
VIL
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAD
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 3
VIL
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 3
SEV
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |