Real Jaén vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
RJA
2 - 0
MOT
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
RJA
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RJA
1 - 0
HUE
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDR
0 - 1
RJA
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
RJA
24%
26%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
ANT
15%
22%
64%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 0
MEL
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATA
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |