Real Jaén vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CAT
4 - 0
RJA
66%
18%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
GAD
0 - 0
RJA
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
RCD
1 - 1
RJA
53%
21%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
RJA
1 - 0
REC
59%
19%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
MAL
8 - 1
BAL
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
RCD
0 - 1
MAL
33%
23%
44%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
MAL
4 - 2
REC
78%
13%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
LIN
0 - 2
MAL
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
MAL
3 - 0
ALG
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |