Tercera División RFEF IX - Andalusia and Melilla Round 29

Real Jaén vs FC Málaga City analysis

Real Jaén FC Málaga City
42 ELO 24
0.2% Tilt -27.1%
4999º General ELO ranking 10324º
171º Country ELO ranking 756º
ELO win probability
85%
Real Jaén
10.3%
Draw
4.8%
FC Málaga City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
Real Jaén
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
4.8%
Win probability
FC Málaga City
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-13%
-13%
FC Málaga City

Points and table prediction

Real Jaén
Their league position
FC Málaga City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
25
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marbella FC
72
72
100%
Real Jaén
68
68
100%
El Palo FC
63
63
100%
UD Torre Del Mar
55
55
100%
At. Malagueño
45
45
0%
Huétor Vega
45
45
0%
Almería B
41
41
100%
UDC Torredonjimeno
41
41
0%
CF Motril
41
41
0%
Arenas de Armilla
10º
39
39
10º
100%
CD Torreperogil
11º
38
38
11º
100%
CD Huétor Tájar
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Maracena
13º
33
33
13º
100%
FC Málaga City
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Atletico Porcuna
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Huracán Melilla
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Jaén
FC Málaga City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Real Jaén
FC Málaga City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 1
CD Huétor Tájar
HUE
65%
19%
16%
41 35 6 0
26 Mar. 2023
CHM
CD Huracán Melilla
0 - 6
Real Jaén
RJA
9%
19%
72%
41 10 31 0
23 Mar. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 3
Getafe
GET
7%
19%
74%
41 84 43 0
19 Mar. 2023
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Almería B
ALM
59%
21%
20%
40 36 4 +1
12 Mar. 2023
MAL
At. Malagueño
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
39%
26%
35%
40 33 7 0

Matches

FC Málaga City
FC Málaga City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
HUE
Huétor Vega
1 - 1
FC Málaga City
CDM
71%
17%
12%
24 32 8 0
26 Mar. 2023
CDM
FC Málaga City
2 - 1
CD Huétor Tájar
HUE
13%
18%
69%
22 36 14 +2
19 Mar. 2023
ATL
Atletico Porcuna
2 - 1
FC Málaga City
CDM
39%
24%
37%
22 20 2 0
11 Mar. 2023
CDM
FC Málaga City
1 - 1
CD Huracán Melilla
CHM
86%
10%
4%
22 10 12 0
05 Mar. 2023
MAR
Maracena
2 - 0
FC Málaga City
CDM
50%
23%
27%
23 25 2 -1