Real Jaén vs Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
1 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 1
ALC
53%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 2
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGU
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 1
AGD
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
3 - 0
BAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAZ
2 - 1
BET
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
BAZ
33%
28%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 0
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |