Real Jaén vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
VCF
4 - 0
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
31%
23%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
OSA
5 - 1
RJA
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RJA
3 - 0
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 0
UDL
89%
8%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
GRA
0 - 4
FCB
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 0
OSA
89%
8%
4%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |