Real Jaén vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
ILI
1 - 0
RJA
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
RJA
2 - 0
JUV
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
PUE
4 - 0
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -4 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 1
RJA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
RON
2 - 0
RJA
34%
25%
40%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -3 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 2
MAL
39%
27%
34%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
UDF
0 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
MAL
2 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
IMP
1 - 3
MAL
38%
28%
35%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |