Tercera Division G4 Round 11

Real Jaén vs AD Almería analysis

Real Jaén AD Almería
45 ELO 56
-3.8% Tilt -20.5%
4777º General ELO ranking 26000º
156º Country ELO ranking 8452º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Real Jaén
23.5%
Draw
50.6%
AD Almería

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.6%
Win probability
AD Almería
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Real Jaén
AD Almería
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 1972
LIN
Linares CF
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
62%
24%
13%
44 47 3 0
05 Nov. 1972
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
AgD Ceuta
AGD
64%
22%
14%
43 41 2 +1
29 Oct. 1972
EXT
CF Extremadura
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
53%
27%
20%
45 36 9 -2
22 Oct. 1972
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Hellin Deportivo
HEL
72%
18%
10%
44 35 9 +1
15 Oct. 1972
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 0
O Donnell
CDO
84%
11%
5%
44 29 15 0

Matches

AD Almería
AD Almería
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 1972
ALM
AD Almería
2 - 1
Linares CF
LIN
78%
14%
7%
57 47 10 0
12 Nov. 1972
ALM
AD Almería
2 - 1
CD Badajoz
CDB
75%
16%
10%
57 47 10 0
05 Nov. 1972
CFC
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
4 - 1
AD Almería
ALM
52%
22%
26%
58 55 3 -1
01 Nov. 1972
LIN
Linares CF
3 - 0
AD Almería
ALM
27%
25%
48%
59 46 13 -1
29 Oct. 1972
ALM
AD Almería
3 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
83%
12%
5%
59 43 16 0