Real Jaén vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
COR
1 - 1
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CAT
4 - 0
RJA
66%
18%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
GAD
0 - 0
RJA
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
74%
15%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ALG
4 - 0
BAL
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RCD
5 - 2
ALG
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ALG
3 - 3
REC
50%
21%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
LIN
6 - 1
ALG
46%
22%
32%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ALG
4 - 0
GAD
72%
15%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |