Real Jaén vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AGU
1 - 1
RJA
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDL
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
52%
27%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
RJA
3 - 1
CCF
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
ECI
0 - 0
ALC
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALC
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ALC
2 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |