Real Jaén vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CDL
2 - 1
RJA
36%
31%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
RJA
0 - 0
CCF
23%
29%
48%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 2
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 0
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 1
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 1
ALC
56%
26%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
UBC
31%
29%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |