Real Jaén vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CDL
0 - 0
RJA
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
TAL
2 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
36%
32%
33%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDZ
52%
27%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
ECI
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
AGD
22%
28%
50%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 2
DBN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |