Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-3
Real Jaén vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAL
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CDB
3 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
RJA
3 - 1
CPC
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MAL
4 - 0
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
PUE
1 - 2
PUL
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
2 - 1
ALA
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
4 - 1
AND
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CFP
0 - 0
PUL
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |