Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ALM
1 - 2
RJA
69%
21%
10%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
52%
28%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
EXT
2 - 3
RJA
60%
25%
15%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
RJA
3 - 0
MEL
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ALG
2 - 1
RJA
52%
30%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
AGD
2 - 1
SDM
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
46%
30%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
AGD
1 - 0
CFC
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ORI
1 - 0
AGD
51%
28%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
AGD
1 - 0
PUE
65%
23%
12%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |