Real Jaén B vs Mengibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
RJA
56%
23%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
RJA
6 - 1
ATL
56%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
CLU
2 - 2
RJA
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 2
FSV
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CDU
0 - 1
RJA
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MEN
1 - 2
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 4
MEN
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
MEN
2 - 0
CDR
43%
25%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MEN
0 - 3
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 0
MEN
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |