Real Jaén B vs CD Tugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
6 - 0
JOD
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDR
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 0
RJA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
4 - 1
MOG
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CD Tugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CDT
3 - 0
LIN
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
CDT
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CDT
3 - 2
CDV
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LAG
4 - 3
CDT
59%
22%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CDT
3 - 2
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |