Copa Nicaragua . 1/16
Global 12-0
Real Estelí vs Lianzur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EST
0 - 0
WAL
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
LNZ
0 - 2
EST
3%
8%
89%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SAB
1 - 2
EST
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
5 - 0
DEP
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lianzur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
LNZ
0 - 2
EST
3%
8%
89%
|
8 | 66 | 58 | 0 |