Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
25
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
EST
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
AME
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
DEP
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 0
EST
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 0
JAP
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |