Apertura Nicaragua Final Stages Final
Global 4-4
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
MFC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 4
EST
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
DIR
1 - 1
WAL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
DIR
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
5 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |