Apertura Nicaragua Etapas Finales. Final
Global 4-4
Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
MFC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 4
EST
16%
24%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 3
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
DIR
1 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
DIR
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WAL
5 - 1
JUV
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |