Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 2
UNA
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 0
DIR
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 3
WAL
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 2
CFC
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
NFC
0 - 7
WAL
21%
28%
52%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |