Real Estelí vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
JAP
0 - 0
EST
11%
23%
66%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
DIR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
UNA
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAN
24%
28%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 2
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
UNA
2 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 3
DEP
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 0
DEP
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |