Real Estelí vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REA
2 - 5
EST
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
JAP
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
JUV
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 3
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JAP
0 - 1
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
UNA
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 2
DEP
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |