CONCACAF Champions Round 3

Real Estelí vs LD Alajuelense analysis

Real Estelí LD Alajuelense
67 ELO 76
-6.3% Tilt -11.2%
1806º General ELO ranking 1275º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.5%
Real Estelí
24.7%
Draw
43.8%
LD Alajuelense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
Real Estelí
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.8%
Win probability
LD Alajuelense
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Estelí
+17%
+5%
LD Alajuelense

ELO progression

Real Estelí
LD Alajuelense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Estelí
Real Estelí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2012
EST
Real Estelí
2 - 0
Diriangén
DIR
47%
26%
27%
67 67 0 0
19 Aug. 2012
WAL
Walter Ferretti
2 - 1
Real Estelí
EST
50%
26%
24%
68 67 1 -1
15 Aug. 2012
DEP
CD Ocotal
0 - 0
Real Estelí
EST
36%
27%
37%
68 60 8 0
12 Aug. 2012
EST
Real Estelí
1 - 1
Managua
MAN
50%
27%
23%
68 66 2 0
08 Aug. 2012
XIL
Xilotepelt
1 - 2
Real Estelí
EST
37%
28%
35%
68 57 11 0

Matches

LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2012
SAP
Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 2
LD Alajuelense
LDA
43%
26%
31%
75 75 0 0
23 Aug. 2012
LDA
LD Alajuelense
2 - 2
Tigres UANL
TIG
36%
29%
35%
76 84 8 -1
19 Aug. 2012
PER
Pérez Zeledón
0 - 1
LD Alajuelense
LDA
38%
26%
36%
75 70 5 +1
12 Aug. 2012
LDA
LD Alajuelense
0 - 0
Limón
LFC
73%
18%
9%
75 59 16 0
09 Aug. 2012
SAN
Santos de Guápiles
0 - 2
LD Alajuelense
LDA
30%
26%
45%
75 66 9 0