Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
RES
1 - 2
OLI
30%
26%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
RES
21%
25%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
RES
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
32%
26%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
RDM
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 0
VID
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RDM
3 - 4
HNP
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
HNP
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |