Real España vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
RES
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RES
3 - 0
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RES
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 4
RES
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
RES
1 - 3
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RJU
0 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
VIC
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 0
REA
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |