Apertura Honduras Round 17

Real España vs FC Motagua analysis

Real España FC Motagua
67 ELO 68
14.7% Tilt 10.1%
1310º General ELO ranking 1243º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.2%
Real España
24.8%
Draw
26%
FC Motagua

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
Real España
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
FC Motagua
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real España
-7%
+18%
FC Motagua

ELO progression

Real España
FC Motagua
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real España
Real España
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2016
VID
CDyS Vida
1 - 2
Real España
RES
27%
26%
47%
68 60 8 0
30 Oct. 2016
HNP
Honduras Progreso
3 - 1
Real España
RES
34%
26%
41%
69 61 8 -1
23 Oct. 2016
RES
Real España
1 - 0
Platense FC
PLA
57%
23%
20%
68 65 3 +1
16 Oct. 2016
SOC
Social Sol
0 - 3
Real España
RES
26%
27%
47%
68 57 11 0
13 Oct. 2016
RES
Real España
3 - 2
CD Olimpia
OLI
32%
26%
42%
67 75 8 +1

Matches

FC Motagua
FC Motagua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
4 - 2
Platense FC
PLA
54%
24%
22%
68 65 3 0
30 Oct. 2016
SOC
Social Sol
3 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
23%
28%
49%
69 56 13 -1
24 Oct. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
1 - 1
CD Olimpia
OLI
34%
26%
40%
69 75 6 0
15 Oct. 2016
MAR
CD Marathón
3 - 1
FC Motagua
MOT
34%
28%
38%
70 65 5 -1
10 Oct. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
2 - 2
Juticalpa FC
JUT
58%
24%
18%
70 67 3 0