Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AFC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
RSC
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BOG
3 - 1
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
BJC
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ORS
2 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOG
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |