Real Cartagena vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
HUI
2 - 3
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
HUI
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
BJC
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 1
LEO
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 2
QUI
28%
30%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |