Real Cartagena vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
UNI
62%
20%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
CAR
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
2 - 3
SFE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 0
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HUI
1 - 1
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
6 - 0
RSC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JUN
0 - 2
CUC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |