Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
HUI
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
BJC
34%
25%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 2
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
RSC
2 - 1
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
RSC
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
QUI
4 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |