Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SEG
1 - 1
AVI
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
AVI
0 - 1
PON
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FUE
1 - 1
AVI
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
AVI
1 - 2
SSR
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PPJ
1 - 1
AVI
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 1
PON
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CDO
1 - 0
LUG
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 0
AVI
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
CUL
0 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 1
MST
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |