Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
CAN
3 - 1
AVI
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
AVI
2 - 0
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCM
1 - 0
AVI
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AVI
0 - 1
UPL
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
PRA
0 - 1
AVI
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
4 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 0
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 1
CUL
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUG
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 1
CUL
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |