Tercera Division Asturias Round 19

Real Avilés Industrial vs Luarca CF analysis

Real Avilés Industrial Luarca CF
30 ELO 20
-10.5% Tilt -7.1%
3584º General ELO ranking 12256º
110º Country ELO ranking 1609º
ELO win probability
69%
Real Avilés Industrial
18.8%
Draw
12.2%
Luarca CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Real Avilés Industrial
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
Luarca CF
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Avilés Industrial
+33%
+29%
Luarca CF

ELO progression

Real Avilés Industrial
Luarca CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Avilés Industrial
Real Avilés Industrial
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2009
COL
Colloto
0 - 2
Real Avilés Industrial
AVI
34%
26%
41%
30 23 7 0
16 Dec. 2009
AVI
Real Avilés Industrial
1 - 0
Navarro
NAV
60%
23%
17%
29 26 3 +1
12 Dec. 2009
CAN
Candás CF
0 - 1
Real Avilés Industrial
AVI
48%
25%
27%
29 31 2 0
29 Nov. 2009
AVI
Real Avilés Industrial
3 - 1
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
34%
27%
40%
27 33 6 +2
21 Nov. 2009
CEA
UC Ceares
1 - 2
Real Avilés Industrial
AVI
40%
26%
34%
26 23 3 +1

Matches

Luarca CF
Luarca CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2009
LUA
Luarca CF
0 - 0
Condal
CON
42%
24%
34%
20 21 1 0
16 Dec. 2009
GIN
Gijón Ind.
2 - 1
Luarca CF
LUA
54%
23%
24%
20 22 2 0
13 Dec. 2009
LUA
Luarca CF
1 - 1
UP Langreo
UPL
18%
22%
60%
19 35 16 +1
29 Nov. 2009
UNI
Universidad Oviedo
4 - 0
Luarca CF
LUA
83%
11%
6%
20 40 20 -1
22 Nov. 2009
LUA
Luarca CF
0 - 3
Llanes
LLA
26%
25%
49%
21 32 11 -1