Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 0
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
6 - 1
ECI
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAD
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
20%
28%
53%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |