Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
GAR
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GAR
0 - 0
HUA
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
GAR
1 - 2
SBO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 2
GAR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GAR
3 - 1
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
LLA
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 4
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |