Real Arroyo Seco vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
RAS
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
9DJ
3 - 1
RAS
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 2
BUC
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GIM
4 - 0
RAS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 1
CIP
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PAT
4 - 3
GIM
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
0 - 3
PAT
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PAT
1 - 0
UNI
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
9DJ
1 - 0
PAT
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |