Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
GET
4 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
1 - 2
TAL
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROB
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
FUE
2 - 0
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LUG
5 - 0
COL
64%
22%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SPB
3 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
4 - 0
RCF
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
LUG
28%
29%
43%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |