Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
63.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 1
ARA
56%
21%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAN
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
1 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
GET
14%
22%
64%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
0 - 1
CDM
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
GAL
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
2 - 1
CDM
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDM
33%
27%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |